Monday, October 14th

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS @ NEW YORK YANKEES – 4:35 PM

The Guardians take on the Yankees tonight in Game 1 of the ALCS after closing the door on the Detroit Lions and ending their Cinderella run in the post season. The starting pitching matchup tonight may lead to a high scoring affair as the Yankees will start Carlos Rodon while the Guardians are going with Alex Cobb. While Rodon does not have extensive experience pitching against much of the Guardians roster outside of Jose Ramirez (0 home runs allowed in 43 at bats), he is prone to giving up big hits and allowing runs. Meanwhile Cobb has faced most of the Yankees lineup and it appears Juan Soto may have him figured out (7 hits, 4 RBI’s, 2 home runs in 11 at bats). With how inconsistent the MLB post season has been from the standpoint of trying to predict the winning team of any given game, AI has identified more value on wagering on Juan Soto’s batter props in this game with his track record of success when hitting against Alex Cobb. It is recommending a 60% likelihood that Juan Soto goes over his line of 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBI’s tonight while Draft Kings has this market priced at -120 which equates to about 54.5% implied probability. Look for Juan Soto to have a productive game at the plate tonight with the Yankees looking to secure a game 1 win at home.

The Pick: Juan Soto OVER 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI’s (Draft Kings)


BUFFALO BILLS @ NEW YORK JETS – 5:15 PM

The Bills take on the Jets tonight in an AFC East Divisional clash on Monday Night Football. Both teams come into this game desperate for a win as each has lost their last 2 games. The Jets created a big distraction for themselves with the unexpected firing of Head Coach Robert Saleh last week and it has attracted countless headlines and media speculation as to the reason behind the coaching change which surely has impacted the focus of the Jets organization heading into this matchup. Meanwhile Buffalo’s offensive versatility, led by dynamic quarterback Josh Allen, gives them the ability to adjust to the windy conditions expected at MetLife Stadium tonight. While the Jets boast one of the top pass defenses, their inconsistency against the run could give the Bills a crucial edge if they can establish balance on offense. The recent coaching changes within the Jets organization inject uncertainty into their game plan, while Buffalo’s roster continuity and experience provide stability. AI is suggesting a 55% chance that the Bills win the game outright while Sporttrade has the Bills Moneyline priced at 53.5% implied probability so there is some value to work with here.

The Pick: Buffalo Bills Moneyline


OTHER BETS TO CONSIDER:

Josh Allen OVER 199.5 Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers UNDER 230.5 Alternate Passing Yards (Draft Kings)

Breece Hall OVER 3.5 Receptions

James Cook OVER 76.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards

Keon Coleman OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards

James Cook Anytime Touchdown

Allen Lazard 25+ Receiving Yards

Bills vs. Jets UNDER 44.5 Alternate Total Points


FAVORITE PARLAYS:

2 Legs +200 Odds

  • Josh Allen OVER 199.5 Passing Yards
  • Aaron Rodgers UNDER 230.5 Alternate Passing Yards

2 Legs +236 Odds

  • Juan Soto OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI’s (Draft Kings)
  • Buffalo Bills Moneyline

4 Legs +800 Odds

  • Breece Hall OVER 3.5 Receptions
  • James Cook OVER 76.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
  • James Cook Anytime Touchdown
  • Bills vs. Jets UNDER 44.5 Alternate Total Points


LONG SHOT PARLAY:

3 Legs +2625 Odds

  • Josh Allen 225+ Alternate Passing Yards
  • James Cook Anytime Touchdown
  • Juan Soto to hit a Homerun

A $5 bet wins $131.25