BALTIMORE RAVENS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS –5:15PM
The Ravens bring a 4 game winning streak to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers in a Monday Night Football matchup. The Ravens can tie the Steelers for the lead in the AFC North with a win today while the Buccaneers are looking to give themselves some distance from the Falcons as they currently lead the NFC South. The Ravens are favored by 3.5 points coming into this game and road favorites in particular have fared extremely well over the last 2 weeks (12-1 straight up). That being said, AI has detected a better value play than trying to pick the winner in this one. The Ravens have managed to score 14 or more points in each of their last 4 games during their winning streak. With the Buccaneers having the 6th worst ranked overall defense in the NFL that trend does not appear to be slowing down anytime soon. The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to score 14 or more points in 3 out of their last 4 games so Zay Flowers and Lamar Jackson should be in a prime spot to exploit the 4th worst passing defense in the NFL tonight. With the line on FanDuel set at 13.5 for the Baltimore Ravens first half total points, AI is suggesting a 65% chance that the Ravens go over the line and score 14 or more points by halftime. FanDuel has the over/under priced at -110 which equates to 52.38% implied probability so there is a lot more value to capitalize on compared to picking the winning team. Look for the Ravens to get on the board early and get a couple touchdowns in the first half.
The Pick: Baltimore Ravens OVER 13.5 1st Half Total Points
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS –6:00 PM
The Chargers take on the Cardinals tonight at State Farm Stadium in Glendale for game 2 of Monday Night Football. The Chargers carry a 3-2 record into this game while the Cardinals are looking to take over second place in the NFC West with a win against LA. The Chargers are a 1.5 point favorite and personally I will be betting on my Cardinals as the moneyline underdogs to get the win at home (that is not an AI backed play). This is another spot where AI saw a better bet instead of taking a winner and it involves taking an under on the total points scored. The Chargers have consistently played in low-scoring games all season, with the most points scored in any of their games being just 39. Their defense has been exceptional, ranking in the top 5 for total yards allowed, and they are number one in the NFL for fewest points allowed per game, giving up only 13.2 points on average. Additionally, the Cardinals’ last two games have both seen total scores of 47 points or less, further supporting the likelihood of a low-scoring game. The line is set at 44.5 for the total points scored but you can adjust this to 47.5 and take the under. AI recommends a 75% likelihood that the total combined score in this one is 47 points or less while FanDuel has the adjusted under priced at -180 which is about 64% implied probability. Look for this game to be relatively low scoring and hopefully the Cardinals come out on top.
The Pick: Chargers vs. Cardinals UNDER 47.5 Alternate Total Points
OTHER BETS TO CONSIDER:
Baker Mayfield OVER 23.5 Passing Completions
Chris Godwin 70+ Alternate Receiving Yards
Chris Godwin Anytime Touchdown
Ravens vs. Buccaneers OVER 46.5 Alternate Total Points
Zay Flowers OVER 5.5 Receptions
JK Dobbins OVER 98.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
JK Dobbins Anytime Touchdown
James Conner OVER 70 Alternate Rushing + Receiving Yards
FAVORITE PARLAYS:
2 Legs +196 Odds
- Baltimore Ravens OVER 13.5 1st Half Total Points
- Chargers vs. Cardinals UNDER 47.5 Alternate Total Points
2 Legs +244
- Baker Mayfield OVER 23.5 Passing Completions
- JK Dobbins OVER 98.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
3 Legs +687 Odds
- JK Dobbins Anytime Touchdown
- Chris Godwin Anytime Touchdown
- Zay Flowers OVER 5.5 Receptions
LONG SHOT PARLAY:
3 Legs +2297 Odds
- Zay Flowers 100+ Alternate Receiving Yards
- Baker Mayfield 300+ Alternate Passing Yards
- JK Dobbins 80+ Alternate Rushing Yards
A $5 bet wins $114.89