KANSAS CITY ROYALS @ NEW YORK YANKEES – 4:35PM
The Royals take on the Yankees in game 2 of their ALDS series after the Yankees took game 1 over the weekend. After putting up 5 runs against Gerrit Cole, the Yankees’ ace, the Royals have shown they can produce against elite pitching. Now, facing Carlos Rodón, who has been less consistent with a 3.96 ERA, Kansas City’s offense, led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Pérez, has an even greater chance to capitalize. Additionally, the Royals’ starting pitcher Cole Ragans is in top form having not allowed a run in his last 12 innings of play. He brings a strong 3.14 ERA and 223 strikeouts, giving Kansas City the pitching advantage in this matchup. The combination of recent hitting success and solid starting pitching makes the Royals a solid underdog pick today. AI suggests a 45% chance that they win the game while Sporttrade has them priced at about 42.5% implied probability to win so there is some value to work with here.
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS – 5:15PM
The Saints travel to Arrowhead Stadium today to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the conclusion of Week 5 in the NFL. The Chiefs are one of two remaining undefeated teams in the NFL while the Saints bring a 2-2 record into this matchup. The Chiefs, despite the perfect record so far, have yet to win a game by more than one possession this season, making them less likely to blow out opponents. Additionally, Kansas City is dealing with key injuries on offense, including Rashee Rice and Isiah Pacheco, limiting their ability to dominate offensively. The Saints, meanwhile, boast a top-10 rushing defense and have kept most of their games close, even in losses. With New Orleans’ ability to generate takeaways and Kansas City’s recent struggles with turnovers, the Saints are well-positioned to keep this game within a touchdown. At +7.5, this alternate spread offers a valuable cushion, making it a strong bet for those looking to back an underdog with a solid defense. AI recommends a 65% likelihood that the Saints cover an alternate spread at +7.5 while Sporttrade has this priced at -163 odds which equates to just under 62% implied probability.
The Pick: New Orleans Saints +7.5 Alternate Spread
OTHER BETS TO CONSIDER:
Alvin Kamara UNDER 103.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Derek Carr OVER 209.5 Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes 225+ Alternate Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Patrick Mahomes OVER 18.5 Rushing Yards
Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown
Xavier Worthy 40+ Alternate Receiving Yards
Rashid Shaheed 40+ Alternate Receiving Yards
FAVORITE PARLAYS:
2 Legs +256 Odds
- Kansas City Royals Moneyline
- New Orleans Saints +7.5 Alternate Spread
3 Legs +323 Odds
- Patrick Mahomes 225+ Alternate Passing Yards
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown
4 Legs +507 Odds
- Derek Carr OVER 209.5 Passing Yards
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 18.5 Rushing Yards
- Rashid Shaheed 40+ Alternate Receiving Yards
- New Orleans Saints +7.5 Alternate Spread
LONG SHOT PARLAY:
3 Legs +2394 Odds
- Salvador Perez 2+ RBI’s
- Patrick Mahomes 275+ Alternate Passing Yards
- Saints vs. Chiefs OVER 45.5 Alternate Total Points
A $5 bet wins $119.70