TENNESSEE TITANS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS – 4:30PM
The Titans take on the Dolphins tonight in the first of 2 Monday NIght Football games. This is a matchup of two of the worst performing offenses in the NFL so far as the Titans will be looking to pick up their first win of the season while the Dolphins have been unable to win since losing starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Both teams have significant offensive limitations — Miami is down to backup quarterback Tyler Huntley after the injury to Skylar Thompson, and they’ve struggled to put up points since Tua’s injury in week 2, managing just 3 points last week. The Titans aren’t faring much better, averaging a dismal 16 points per game while ranking near the bottom in passing yards. Add to this the fact that both teams bring solid defensive units, with Tennessee boasting a top-3 pass defense, and you have the perfect recipe for a low-scoring affair. The line on the total points scored in this game is currently sitting at over/under 36.5. AI is seeing a ton of value on this market as it suggests about an 80% likelihood that the final combined score is 36 points or less while Sporttrade currently has the under priced at +102 odds which equates to about 49% implied probability. Get your bets in on the under total points in this game before the line keeps dropping.
The Pick: Titans vs. Dolphins UNDER 36.5 Total Points
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ DETROIT LIONS – 5:15PM
The Seahawks take on the Lions in Detroit for the second Monday NIght Football matchup tonight on ABC. These teams have faced each twice in close games over the last couple of seasons with the Seahawks winning both times in Detroit by a small margin. This game presents a new opportunity however for the Lions as they bring the most talented lineup they have had in years to the table while the Seahawks will be without Pete Carroll in this matchup for the first time since 2012. The Lions right now boast a top-tier rushing attack and an elite pass rush, ranking 3rd in the NFL, which will exploit Seattle’s weak offensive line. Detroit’s defense, allowing only 17.7 points per game, will control the pace against a Seahawks team that’s been padded by weaker competition so far, as this will be their first game against a team with an above .500 record. With the line currently sitting at -3.5 favoring the Lions, AI sees value in backing them on an alternate spread that is slightly reduced. At home, with Goff and a balanced offensive attack, betting on the Lions to win by at least 2 points secures value while protecting you from a close game. AI recommends a near 70% chance that the Lions win by 2 or more points while Sporttrade has this priced at -181 odds which is about 64% implied probability. This alternate spread offers a better value wager with reduced risk compared to taking the Lions at -3.5.
The Pick: Detroit Lions -1.5 Alternate Spread
OTHER BETS TO CONSIDER:
De’Von Achane 60+ Alternate Rushing Yards
De’Von Achane Anytime Touchdown
Will Levis to throw an Interception
Tyreek Hill UNDER 50.5 Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown 70+ Alternate Receiving Yards
DK Metcalf 60+ Alternate Receiving Yards
Geno Smith OVER 250.5 Passing Yards
Aidan Hutchinson OVER 1.25 Sacks (This is on Draft Kings)
FAVORITE PARLAYS:
2 Leg Parlay +158 Odds
- De’Von Achane 60+ Alternate Rushing Yards
- De’Von Achane Anytime Touchdown
2 Leg Parlay +195
- Titans vs. Dolphins UNDER 36.5 Total Points
- Detroit Lions -1.5 Alternate Spread
2 Leg Parlay:+309 (Can play this on DK)
- Aidan Hutchinson Over 1.25 Sacks
- Will Levis to throw an Interception
LONG SHOT PARLAY:
3 Legs +2383 Odds
- Titans vs. Dolphins UNDER 34.5 Alternate Total Score
- Geno Smith 300+ Passing Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 100+ Receiving Yards
A $5 wager wins 119.17