COLORADO ROCKIES @ ATLANTA BRAVES – 4:20PM
The Rockies take on the Braves tonight in Atlanta to begin the final 3 game series these teams will play against each other this season. The Rockies own the series so far having won 2 out of the 3 games these teams played last month in Colorado but Atlanta is rightfully a heavy favorite in this game today. The Braves not only have the home-field advantage, but they also have the formidable Chris Sale on the mound, who has been lights-out all season with a 15-3 record and a stingy 2.58 ERA. Sale’s dominance on the mound significantly limits the scoring opportunities for the opposition, making it highly likely that the Rockies’ struggling offense will be held in check. Additionally, the Braves have shown a strong tendency to win by multiple runs, especially at home, where their potent lineup thrives against weaker pitching. Given the Rockies’ inconsistency and Freeland’s recent struggles, this is a prime opportunity to capitalize on the Braves’ ability to win comfortably, making the -1.5 run line a solid value play. AI estimates the likelihood of the Braves winning by 2 or more runs at about 65% which gives enough reassurance to bet the run line here.
The Pick: Braves to cover -1.5 Run Line
ATLANTA DREAM @ PHOENIX MERCURY – 7PM
The Dream, despite being slight underdogs, offer tremendous value on the moneyline today in their game against the Mercury. Phoenix is reeling from the loss of Natasha Cloud, who is missing the game due to suspension from too many technical fouls. They will continue to be without Rebecca Allen and Charisma Osbourne leaving the bench very shallow for this matchup. The implications of not having Natasha Cloud will be critical as this leaves the Mercury’s backcourt weakened and their offense out of sync. Meanwhile, the Dream have been playing solid basketball, boasting a better record than the Mercury since the Olympic break and coming off an 18 point win against the Sparks in Los Angeles. Given the struggles that the Mercury had in the 2 game back to back series these teams just played last month, do not expect them to fare much better without their lead playmaker on the floor. AI anticipates a 55% likelihood that the Dream will win tonight and that is good enough validation to invest in them on the Moneyline.
The Pick: Atlanta Dream Moneyline
OTHER BETS TO CONSIDER:
Tina Charles 10+ Rebounds
Diana Taurasi OVER 4.5 Assists
Kahleah Copper 20+ Points
Atlanta Dream -4.5 Spread (Tri-Bet 2 on FanDuel)
Chris Sale 8+ Strikeouts
Matt Olson 1+ RBI’s
Michael Harris II 1+ Hits
Michael Harris II 1+ Runs Scored
Braves vs. Rockies. Alternate Total Runs scored UNDER 8.5
Corbin Carroll 1+ Runs Scored
LONG SHOT PARLAY:
3 Legs +2074 Odds
- Matt Olson to hit a Home Run
- Tina Charles 12+ Rebounds
- Ryne Nelson UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts
A $5 wager wins $101.86